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Leadership and Tim Tebow – Belief and Effort Create Luck

I spent 5 fantastic nights in Breckenridge this last week, and timing had me driving back to Denver during the Denver Broncos – Miami Dolphins game. I used my trusty Xfinity Mobile App to set the DVR to record the game, and I did my best not to check out the score. Although I still thought it was too early to start Tebow, I was looking forward to him “Bringing It”.

Well, remaining blissfully ignorant of the score did not last long. We went to the “without peer” Beau Jo’s pizza in Idaho Springs, and the game was on every TV! I looked up and the score was 6-0 Miami late in the 3rd Quarter. My first reaction: It must be bad coaching and they are calling such a conservative game with Tebow that they cannot score against the worst team in the league. By 05:23 left in regulation, the score is 15-0 Miami…but wait, the clock just chimed “Tebow Time”! From that point until the Denver Broncos won 18-15 in overtime:

  • Tim Tebow goes 4-5 passing for 71 yards, rushes for 13 yards – Broncos score TD
  • Broncos recover onside kick (kickoff team recovers onside about 21% of the time historically)
  • Tebow goes 5-8 passing for 50 yards – Broncos score TD and Tebow scores on 2-pt conversion (historical success rate on 2-pt conversion less than 50%)
  • Game goes to overtime and teams trade punts. Denver causes a fumble at Miami 35-yrd line
  • Denver kicker nails a 52 yard field goal after previously going 0-2 on field goal attempts from 49 yards and 43 yards

What is the simple lesson here? – Belief and effort create luck! Even though I knew the outcome of the game, I went home and watched every Broncos offensive possession to see if the coaches called the game too conservatively. Nope. Tim Tebow was just that bad! He missed receivers by 5 yards on overthrows, and his footwork was terrible. He got sacked repeatedly because he couldn’t make the hot read on blitzes. Yet his teammates never doubted him…they kept believing!

We have all seen sports teams, and sales or management teams, wilt when they sense the inevitable loss. A dynamic leader can prevent that defeated attitude from crippling the team. After Tebow “came alive”, the Broncos kickoff team went out on the field fully expecting to recover that onside kick. DJ Williams gave full effort to sack the Miami QB, strip the football, and setup the winning FG.

Belief begets belief; effort begets effort. Belief and effort in tandem help winning teams create their own luck.

I am one of three proud principals in a software solution provider called Mantis Technology Group. We never stop believing even when the economy crushes companies all around us. We work to maintain a positive culture and our people make the extra effort to “create our own luck”. To borrow from a fellow blogger, Shawn Murphy, I do not feel our employees “accept their paycheck in exchange for time”. They believe and put forth the effort, and we are all blessed as a result. One of our newest endeavors is entering a competitive social media monitoring market with our own superior Pulse Analytics product offering. One of my partners (Doug Turner) believed, our people put forth tremendous effort and creativity, and we are now poised to “create our own luck”. I am the most excited I have been about Mantis in the 10+ years we’ve been in business, and I loved my job before Pulse Analytics!

Do you have a “belief + effort = created luck” story? Should you?!? Maybe your team is looking at you, and they are primed to perform and to give their best efforts for the right dynamic leader in whom they can believe.

Anybody have a Journey song stuck in their head now ;)?

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Brian Vickery

I love my Vickery Girls - and grandsons! My career has blessed me to the point I was able to start a new consultancy in 2018: Analytic Integrity. I look to provide analytic experience, and business integrity, to an Analytics world while helping data-driven organizations mature. I enjoy teaching and coaching, watching football and basketball, and playing tennis. I graduated UT-Austin.

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  1. keep believing and doing what you do best Brian! your hard work has paid off in too many ways to count. your creativity enables you to keep reinventing yourself and your skill set. i have always known you can do anything and you keep proving it.

    • Thanks, Kris…you keep making it possible for me to explore and reinvent!


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